Longitudinal Analysis of the effect of meteorological factors, allergens, and air pollution on respiratory condition in children

Abstract

<p> In this report we explore how the effect of meteorological factors, allergens, and air pollution on respiratory conditions in children using longitudinal data. Our analysis makes use of a dataset from the DAVIS study in southern Ontario. The response variables are children's lower respiratory tract (URT) and upper respiratory tract (URT) scores. The explanatory variables are readings of various meteorological, allergen, and air pollution factors. First we make use of generalized estimating equations to find the main factors that are associated with certain respiratory conditions in children as measured by LRT and URT scores. Then we determine whether there are any interactions between the significant factors associated with LRT /URT scores. Comparisons between case and control groups are made to determine whether children with asthma are more sensitive to any of the changes in meteorological, allergen, and air pollution factors. The analysis results show that the significant factor that is associated with LRT scores for children with asthma is the two-day lag daily average changes in air pressure. On average an increase in air pressure will result in an increase in children's LRT scores. The interaction terms that remained in the final model show some degree of significance but without strong evidence to support it. Children in the case groups are more sensitive to meteorological factors, allergens, and air pollution than the children in control groups. </p>